Campaigns
At the Races: Debate demands and dodges
Welcome to At the Races! Each week we bring you news and analysis from the CQ Roll Call campaign team. Know someone who’d like to get this newsletter? They can subscribe here. By Daniela Altimari, Niels Lesniewski and Mary Ellen McIntire Debates have been a part of politics since the days of Lincoln-Douglas. But lately, an increasing […]
‘Pain in the ass’: Trump again shows annoyance with Paxton after leaked audio
President Donald Trump on Thursday once again had Texas on his mind, stumping for state Attorney General Ken Paxton a day after leaked audio added to the awkwardness between the president and a Senate candidate he called a “pain in the ass.” He used an official White House event to tour a Peterbilt heavy truck […]
House Democrats grow more bullish about midterms as target list expands
Democrats are adding eight more House districts in deep-red terrain to their offensive target list, another sign of the party’s growing confidence that it will reclaim the House majority. Among the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s new targets are seats in Kansas, Michigan and Virginia that Donald Trump carried by around 20 points or more in […]
Vulnerable Republican senators stick with Trump on votes since 2025
The six Republicans who made CQ Roll Call’s latest list of the most vulnerable senators have been almost uniformly supportive of President Donald Trump’s priorities since his return to office. In fact, five of them – Ohio’s Jon Husted, Alaska’s Dan Sullivan, Kansas’ Roger Marshall, Nebraska’s Pete Ricketts and South Carolina’s Darline Graham, who only […]
The most vulnerable senators of 2026, about a month out from Election Day
The once unlikely prospect of Democrats scoring a net gain of four seats to win the Senate majority now looks more plausible less than five weeks out from the midterm elections. Still, that would require the party to win in red states that haven’t elected a Democrat to the Senate in years. But strong recruits, […]
The 10 most vulnerable House members just over a month before Election Day
With less than five weeks to go until the midterm elections, Republicans face historical headwinds as the party in power and must also contend with high gas prices amid the ongoing Iran war. But Republican groups enjoy a clear cash advantage as the party seeks to hold on to the House, and redistricting in several […]
Confessions of a political handicapper
ANALYSIS — What if we got it all wrong? That’s the question that usually goes through my mind at this point in every election cycle. Because 25 years of experience in analyzing elections has made me more humble, rather than more cocky. Political handicapping has a way of knocking people down a couple of notches. […]
Midterms looming, Trump opts for football, golf and a late dinner with Dario Amodei
President Donald Trump spent the weekend using Air Force One to buzz the tower at major sporting events after last week’s summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping and as the Senate takes a final vote on a college athletics bill the chamber has spent weeks on. He is slated to emphasize domestic issues as the […]
Supreme Court again rejects Missouri effort to use GOP-friendly map
The Supreme Court on Friday effectively shelved Missouri’s effort to enact a congressional map that would have helped Republicans pick up a House seat, issuing an order that reinstated boundaries first enacted in 2022. Friday’s unsigned ruling set aside a Monday ruling from a three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 8th Circuit, […]
Who would this independent caucus with? ‘Everybody’
Three independent candidates made the trek to Capitol Hill this week to make a point about AI and data centers, calling on Congress to rein in a “real threat.” They also made a case for another reality — their own. “We’re all running outside of the corrupt two-party system,” said Dan Osborn, an Omaha mechanic […]