{"id":707,"date":"2026-07-24T17:41:09","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T17:41:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/americanindustryreview.com\/?p=707"},"modified":"2026-07-24T17:41:09","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T17:41:09","slug":"the-dubious-rags-to-riches-promise-of-trump-accounts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/americanindustryreview.com\/?p=707","title":{"rendered":"The dubious rags to riches promise of Trump accounts"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

By Justine Wang<\/strong><\/p>\n

ANALYSIS \u2014 President Donald Trump has repeatedly said that so-called Trump accounts, new federal investment and savings accounts for children, \u201ccould grow to hundreds of thousands of dollars\u201d by the time children turn 18. That\u2019s only true if parents or other donors contribute thousands of dollars per year, per child, assuming that future returns are close to the historic stock market averages.<\/p>\n

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While touting the program, Trump has also repeatedly suggested that children from homes with \u201cessentially no money\u201d could become \u201cvery rich\u201d with the Trump accounts. But financial experts say it\u2019s unlikely that parents in low-income households would be able to afford to contribute enough for their children\u2019s accounts to reach hundreds of thousands of dollars by the time they reach adulthood. \u201cThink of it, children that are born without money, without any money. Great parents, they can have \u2014 everything can be great, but they have no money. They can become very wealthy children at 18,\u201d Trump\u00a0said\u00a0on July 6.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Parents, relatives, friends, employers, state governments, philanthropic organizations and individuals can\u00a0contribute\u00a0to these accounts until a child turns 18, up to a total $5,000 annual combined limit per account.<\/p>\n

Not everyone has embraced the program; Democratic Rep.\u00a0Bennie Thompson\u00a0of Mississippi\u00a0posted\u00a0on X on July 6, \u201cIt\u2019s safe to say, I would pass on a Trump account.\u201d Thompson said, \u201cTrump University already taught us what happens when his name is on the brochure.\u201d<\/p>\n

But experts say those who eschew the accounts for their children could be leaving free money on the table.<\/p>\n

As part of the\u00a0One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which Trump signed into law on July 4, 2025, the federal government will seed new accounts with $1,000 for children born between Jan. 1, 2025, and Dec. 31, 2028, who have a valid Social Security number. (Parents can open accounts for older children, but they won\u2019t get the $1,000.)In addition, the first 25 million children under the age of 10 and residing in a ZIP code with a median income of $150,000 or less will receive an additional\u00a0$250, which was funded by Michael and Susan Dell\u2019s donation of $6.25 billion to these investment accounts.<\/p>\n

Even if donors don\u2019t contribute anything, that seed money could grow to several thousand dollars by the time a child reaches adulthood.<\/p>\n

What are Trump accounts?<\/h2>\n

The\u00a0Trump accounts\u00a0are a new child savings account that a parent can open for any child before the age of 18. As of July 6, Trump\u00a0said\u00a0that \u201c6 million American children have signed up,\u201d and out of those, 1.4 million met the birth date requirement that makes them eligible for the $1,000 in government seed money. As of July 4, the Treasury had already\u00a0deposited\u00a0the $1,000 into over 500,000 accounts. As we said, parents and relatives, employers, charities, and others can also contribute, up to the per-account $5,000 yearly maximum.<\/p>\n

The Treasury Department\u00a0said\u00a0on July 1 that the Trump accounts will all be initially invested in State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF, which is a low-cost index fund that\u00a0tracks\u00a0the performance of the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., and that other stock index fund options will be available in the \u201ccoming months.\u201d The accounts will be managed by parents and will grow tax-deferred until the child turns 18 years old, when the account is then treated like a traditional individual retirement account.<\/p>\n

The money can\u2019t be withdrawn before a child reaches adulthood.\u00a0Once a child has turned 18, just as with a traditional IRA,\u00a0withdrawals\u00a0can be made penalty-free for certain qualified expenses, such as college tuition and for first-time home purchases (up to $10,000). If an exception doesn\u2019t apply, there\u2019s a 10 percent tax for making withdrawals before age 59 1\/2. Withdrawals, including any pre-tax contributions such as the government seed money or employer contributions, are also taxed at ordinary income tax rates,\u00a0as the Tax Foundation explains. After-tax contributions are exempt from those taxes.<\/p>\n

The $1,000 contributions will cost the government $17 billion through 2028, according to the\u00a0Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s claim of investment growth<\/strong><\/h2>\n

When promoting the program, Trump has often\u00a0claimed\u00a0that these accounts \u201ccould grow to hundreds of thousands of dollars by the time they [children] reach 18 or 21.\u201d To grow to such levels, though, parents or others would have to make significant annual contributions to a child\u2019s account.<\/p>\n

A White House Council of Economic Advisers\u00a0\u00a0estimates \u2014 based on its midrange scenario, which assumes an average annual return of 10.3 percent and the government\u2019s $1,000 in seed money \u2014 that a Trump account would grow to $303,757 by the time a child turns 18 if supplemented by the maximum $5,000 annual contribution (adjusted for inflation starting next year). The CEA also provides a high-range scenario \u2014 which assumes an average annual 18.5 percent return \u2014 in which the account would grow to $730,395 by the time the child turns 18. CEA\u2019s low-end scenario \u2014 which assumes average annual stock growth of 5.4 percent \u2014 projects an account balance of $187,408 in 18 years.<\/p>\n

Growth estimates without such generous annual contributions would, of course, result in much lower returns. Accounts supplemented by annual contributions of $2,500 per child (adjusted for inflation starting next year) would grow to $154,798 when a child turns 18, according to CEA\u2019s mid-range scenario. And with no contributions, the $1,000 seed money would grow to $5,839.<\/p>\n

For context, the State Street ETF chosen for the initial accounts\u00a0has averaged\u00a0an annual return of 11.31 percent since it was launched in late 2005.<\/p>\n

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Joseph Rosenberg, a senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings\u00a0Tax Policy Center, told us in an interview that \u201cit is possible\u201d for someone who contributes the maximum to a Trump account to have a balance of hundreds of thousands. He said that \u201ca newborn who gets the $1,000 and then their parents contribute $5,000 every year until they\u2019re 18. You know, if you assume a 7 percent rate of return, that does get to about $200,000 by the time they\u2019re, say, 18.\u201d<\/p>\n

He estimated the balance of an account with no additional parent contributions to be a little more than $3,000 when the child is 18. All of those values, he noted, are before taxes and adjustments for the effects of inflation. They are also all highly dependent on the performance of the stock market, he said, so the returns may be less than estimated if the stock market doesn\u2019t do as well.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s claim of poor children becoming rich<\/h2>\n

The government website about the accounts \u2014trumpaccounts.gov\u00a0\u2014 makes it clear that donors or families would need to contribute the maximum yearly amount to likely grow an account balance to more than $200,000 once a child is 18. But in publicly discussing the accounts, Trump has frequently framed them as an opportunity for children from low-income homes to become rich.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s really an amazing thing because it gives young children that start out with really nothing and it gives them \u2014 boy, it\u2019s more money than anybody could imagine,\u201d Trump\u00a0said\u00a0in remarks about the program on Jan. 28.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s a beautiful thing. It\u2019s a child has had no money, and when that baby becomes a man or a woman, they can have hundreds of thousands of dollars, maybe more, but they can have hundreds of thousands of dollars, because we\u2019re seeding it,\u201d Trump said in a\u00a0CNBC interview\u00a0on July 2.<\/p>\n

\u201cChildren can, at the age of 18 and after, become very wealthy people; come into the world with essentially no money and end up a very young age being very rich,\u201d Trump said at a Trump account\u00a0launch event\u00a0on July 6. \u201cThink of it, children that are born without money, without any money. Great parents, they can have \u2014 everything can be great, but they have no money. They can become very wealthy children at 18.\u201d<\/p>\n

But financial experts say it\u2019s unlikely low-income families could afford or would make those kinds of thousands of dollars in annual contributions for each of their children. Trumpaccounts.gov estimates that if no additional contributions are made beyond the initial $1,000 seed money, that account could be worth $243,000 by the time the child is 55 years old.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Michelle Singletary, a personal finance columnist for The Washington Post,\u00a0wrote\u00a0on July 11 that many low-income families would lack the disposable income needed for these accounts to grow significantly by age 18. \u201cIf you\u2019re a family living paycheck to paycheck, finding an extra $400 a month to lock away is a fantasy. The issue has never been a lack of account types. The obstacle for many families is a lack of surplus cash,\u201d she said. \u201cBy relying on families to invest up to $5,000 annually to see meaningful growth, Trump accounts do not solve the fundamental problem of poverty.\u201d<\/p>\n

According to\u00a0an analysis\u00a0by the Urban Institute, \u201cWithout additional deposits into the accounts of kids from families with low incomes, children of wealthy parents will primarily benefit\u201d from the program.<\/p>\n

In a blog post for The Tax Law Center at New York University,\u00a0Greg Leiserson,\u00a0a former senior economist for the White House Council of Economic Advisers under Presidents Barack Obama and Joe Biden, also\u00a0warned\u00a0the program may exclude vulnerable children who have \u201cunstable or complex living situations\u201d as well as \u201cthose whose caregivers have very low incomes and do not file a tax return.\u201d<\/p>\n

Furthermore, some experts argue that the Trump accounts are not as tax-efficient as other investment accounts for many families.\u00a0Adam N. Michel, the Cato Institute\u2019s director of tax policy studies, wrote an\u00a0analysis\u00a0that found the Trump accounts would yield the lowest after-tax value of savings compared with other types of accounts, such as a health savings account or a traditional or Roth IRA.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe most attractive feature of a Trump Account is not its treatment of personal contributions but the ability to receive transfers from governments, employers, and nonprofit organizations,\u201d Michel wrote. \u201cThese contributions represent direct government subsidies or tax-free contributions from employers or nonprofit organizations. In that context, the accounts function less as a neutrality-enhancing investment vehicle and more as a welfare program. Any financial advantage of the accounts therefore derives primarily from the presence of these external contributions rather than from improved tax treatment of the contributions made by the beneficiary\u2019s family or friends.\u201d<\/p>\n

In a press release, the Trump administration\u00a0stated\u00a0that more than 50 companies so far have committed to making Trump account contributions for their employees\u2019 kids. Employers can make tax-free contributions of up to\u00a0$2,500\u00a0a year to employee accounts. That amount counts toward the $5,000 annual maximum contribution.<\/p>\n

Read more DCCC targets Republican-held seats with digital ad to mark 100 days till midterms<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Justine Wang ANALYSIS \u2014 President Donald Trump has repeatedly said that so-called Trump accounts, new federal investment and savings accounts for children, \u201ccould grow to hundreds of thousands of dollars\u201d by the time children turn 18. That\u2019s only true if parents or other donors contribute thousands of dollars per year, per child, assuming that […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":706,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-707","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-white-house"],"yoast_head":"\nThe dubious rags to riches promise of Trump accounts - American Industry Review<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/americanindustryreview.com\/?p=707\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The dubious rags to riches promise of Trump accounts - American Industry Review\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"By Justine Wang ANALYSIS \u2014 President Donald Trump has repeatedly said that so-called Trump accounts, new federal investment and savings accounts for children, \u201ccould grow to hundreds of thousands of dollars\u201d by the time children turn 18. 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